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Doubling problem

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Friday, 19 October 2007, at 4:27 p.m.

In Response To: Doubling problem (Dave)

In this particular situation if I was at 33% to win then I should have dropped. Since I consider myself a little better then it was a borderline take.

No, I would say that not considering skill differences 33% was well above the 31.85% you needed to take, and considering that you thought yourself "a little better" you ought to have taken, anyway. I think of 1.15% as "a lot" at DMP, and I think that for most players the margin of error in estimating skill differences and how that should alter cube decisions from perfect-play generated match equities is quite large and likely to lead to major mistakes.

Messages In This Thread

• Doubling problem
  Dave -- Friday, 19 October 2007, at 1:45 p.m.
  • Doubling problem
    DC-Ohio -- Friday, 19 October 2007, at 3:01 p.m.
    • Doubling problem
      Dave -- Friday, 19 October 2007, at 3:33 p.m.
      • Doubling problem
        Chuck Bower -- Friday, 19 October 2007, at 5:05 p.m.
      • Doubling problem
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Saturday, 20 October 2007, at 2:41 a.m.
        • Correction
          Matt Cohn-Geier -- Saturday, 20 October 2007, at 2:43 a.m.
        • Doubling problem
          Dave -- Saturday, 20 October 2007, at 3:44 a.m.
          • Doubling problem
            Matt Cohn-Geier -- Saturday, 20 October 2007, at 5:03 a.m.
  • Doubling problem
    Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 19 October 2007, at 3:06 p.m.
    • Doubling problem
      Dave -- Friday, 19 October 2007, at 4:11 p.m.
      • Doubling problem
        Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 19 October 2007, at 4:27 p.m.
        • Doubling problem
          Dave -- Friday, 19 October 2007, at 4:43 p.m.
          • Doubling problem
            Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 19 October 2007, at 5:21 p.m.
  • Doubling problem
    bob koca -- Saturday, 20 October 2007, at 12:23 a.m.
    • Doubling problem
      Dave -- Saturday, 20 October 2007, at 1:42 a.m.