BGonline.org Forums

Daily Quiz 4/25: XGR+ evals

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Saturday, 19 May 2012, at 3:06 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 4/25 (Daily Quiz)

Truncated rollout:

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 135 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 130 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b-BBBCB----bB--ab-bbbb-B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	61.17% (G: 21.13% B: 1.82%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	38.83% (G: 11.68% B: 0.72%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	61.60% (G: 20.75% B: 1.79%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	38.40% (G: 11.23% B: 0.66%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.223
Double:	+0.677
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0.465
Double/Take:	+0.427 (-0.039)
Double/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.535)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take
Rollout details
648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 2 First 2 moves and cube decisions: 3 ply Remaining moves: 2 ply, cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double:	± 0.017 (+0.448...+0.483)
Confidence Double:	± 0.022 (+0.405...+0.448)
Double Decision confidence:	99.7%
Take Decision confidence:	100.0%
Duration: 5 minutes 22 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

---

		White is Player 1 score: 0 pip: 102 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 67 score: 0 Blue is Player 2
XGID=bBCDBC------------b-bdbcA-:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:	76.04% (G: 19.01% B: 0.16%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	23.96% (G: 1.62% B: 0.04%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:	+0.696
Redouble:	+1.387
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:	+0.902 (-0.098)
Redouble/Take:	+1.226 (+0.226)
Redouble/Drop:	+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

---

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 163 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 140 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b--B-C-D-ABeA-A-c-d--Aa--:1:-1:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 61

1.	XG Roller+	13/7 8/7	eq: +0.510
	Player: Opponent: 71.29% (G:22.92% B:1.74%) 28.71% (G:6.08% B:0.21%)
2.	XG Roller+	22/15	eq: +0.455 (-0.056)
	Player: Opponent: 71.47% (G:16.66% B:1.10%) 28.53% (G:5.24% B:0.18%)
3.	XG Roller+	11/5 6/5	eq: +0.425 (-0.086)
	Player: Opponent: 68.43% (G:22.67% B:1.74%) 31.57% (G:7.47% B:0.42%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Variant 1:

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 163 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 138 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b--B-D-C-ABeA-A-c-d--Aa--:1:-1:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 61

1.	XG Roller+	13/7 8/7	eq: +0.493
	Player: Opponent: 70.45% (G:23.04% B:1.87%) 29.55% (G:6.24% B:0.25%)
2.	XG Roller+	22/15	eq: +0.463 (-0.030)
	Player: Opponent: 71.47% (G:17.28% B:1.24%) 28.53% (G:5.26% B:0.18%)
3.	XG Roller+	11/5 6/5	eq: +0.448 (-0.045)
	Player: Opponent: 68.72% (G:23.93% B:2.13%) 31.28% (G:7.38% B:0.47%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Variant 2:

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 163 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 137 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b--B-D-C-BAeA-A-c-d--Aa--:1:-1:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 61

1.	XG Roller+	13/7 8/7	eq: +0.486
	Player: Opponent: 69.99% (G:23.52% B:1.99%) 30.01% (G:6.33% B:0.25%)
2.	XG Roller+	11/5 6/5	eq: +0.473 (-0.013)
	Player: Opponent: 70.03% (G:22.10% B:1.88%) 29.97% (G:6.12% B:0.24%)
3.	XG Roller+	22/15	eq: +0.472 (-0.014)
	Player: Opponent: 72.15% (G:16.47% B:1.18%) 27.85% (G:4.93% B:0.17%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Messages In This Thread

• Daily Quiz 4/25
  Daily Quiz -- Monday, 14 May 2012, at 7:09 a.m.
  • Daily Quiz 4/25
    David Rennie -- Monday, 14 May 2012, at 7:45 p.m.
  • Daily Quiz 4/25
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 19 May 2012, at 12:48 a.m.
  • Daily Quiz 4/25: XGR+ evals
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 19 May 2012, at 3:06 p.m.