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Daily Quiz 4/26: XGR+ evals

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 20 May 2012, at 9:17 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 4/26 (Daily Quiz)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 157 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 147 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aBaBBaC-----aB--bdAc-bAAA-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:	64.03% (G: 33.00% B: 2.63%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	35.97% (G: 9.07% B: 0.62%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.281
Double:	+1.111
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0.709 (-0.160)
Double/Take:	+0.869
Double/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.131)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

---

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 108 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 117 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-BBBCB--A-bB---b-bcbb-aA:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:	63.82% (G: 18.45% B: 0.93%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	36.18% (G: 11.58% B: 0.28%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.276
Double:	+0.705
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0.506
Double/Take:	+0.474 (-0.031)
Double/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.494)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

If Blue rolls 41 and then White dances:

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 132 Money session pip: 112 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aa-BBBDB----bB---b-bcbb-A-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:	75.83% (G: 34.01% B: 1.16%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	24.17% (G: 4.70% B: 0.27%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.819
Double:	+1.639
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+1.008
Double/Take:	+1.484 (+0.476)
Double/Drop:	+1.000 (-0.008)
Best Cube action: Too Good to Double / Drop

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Without the Jacoby rule:

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 108 Money session pip: 117 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-BBBCB--A-bB---b-bcbb-aA:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:	64.00% (G: 18.43% B: 0.87%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	36.00% (G: 11.64% B: 0.30%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.354
Double:	+0.705
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0.498
Double/Take:	+0.474 (-0.024)
Double/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.502)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

---

Pretty surprised to see that this is such a clear take. Good DQR candidate.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 102 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 112 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-BBBCC----bB-----cccbAa-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:	70.46% (G: 13.55% B: 0.85%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	29.54% (G: 7.40% B: 0.16%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.409
Double:	+0.922
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0.655 (-0.086)
Double/Take:	+0.742
Double/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.258)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Messages In This Thread

• Daily Quiz 4/26
  Daily Quiz -- Tuesday, 15 May 2012, at 5:08 p.m.
  • Daily Quiz 4/26
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 19 May 2012, at 3:22 p.m.
  • Daily Quiz 4/26: XGR+ evals
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 20 May 2012, at 9:17 p.m.