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Importance of the game

Posted By: Mochy
Date: Monday, 21 May 2012, at 9:03 a.m.

In Response To: Importance of the game (eXtreme Gammon)

Thank you Xavier, could you provide us all probability for match within three point?

We know, from the start of the match, that 3away-3away occur 100% and DMP occur 22%. How about other scores?

Importance of DMP is 5.00 but only happen 22%, so real importance (from perspective of the start of the match) is 1.1.

Still it is more important than 3away-3away as it is 0.99. So if I have to decide how to spend my time on 3aways and DMP BEFORE start of the match, I should say I spend my time as odds of 0.99:1.1.

Am I correct?

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