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Doubling problem

Posted By: bob koca
Date: Saturday, 20 October 2007, at 12:23 a.m.

In Response To: Doubling problem (Dave)

"It was the end of the game and my opponent had a 66% of winning the game on his roll and if he didn't make it I would win (two checkers on my ace point)."

Look at the position and recount the number of winning rolls for your opponent. 66% is not possible. My guess is that there are actually 23 winning rolls, 63.9%, or 25 winning rolls 69.5%. My way of estimating there was that I know 24 rolls is 2/3 which I know to be 66.7% and that each exrtra winning roll is worth 2.8%.

Bob Koca

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