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Doubling problem

Posted By: Dave
Date: Saturday, 20 October 2007, at 3:44 a.m.

In Response To: Doubling problem (Matt Cohn-Geier)

It's not that I didn't think the gammons didn't matter at all but more that I could not figure out how to factor them in anyway so I just ignored them OTB. If it's a matter of memorizing match equity tables then that's that. But without that benefit would it have been possible to figure out my take?

If you take gammons completely out of the equation then my chances for winning the match were 25% if I passed vs. the 34% if I took the cube. Clear take. But since gammons do matter how does that affect that 25%? Or can that even be figured out? To further complicate matters, since I would be playing more aggressively for the gammon and increasing my gammon chances this should also mean that I'm decreasing my chances to win the single point game, so how does all that figure in?

In the end it looks like I made the correct choice but not for the correct reasons. What I want to do is learn from this so that I can reason through these things better.

Messages In This Thread

• Doubling problem
  Dave -- Friday, 19 October 2007, at 1:45 p.m.
  • Doubling problem
    DC-Ohio -- Friday, 19 October 2007, at 3:01 p.m.
    • Doubling problem
      Dave -- Friday, 19 October 2007, at 3:33 p.m.
      • Doubling problem
        Chuck Bower -- Friday, 19 October 2007, at 5:05 p.m.
      • Doubling problem
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Saturday, 20 October 2007, at 2:41 a.m.
        • Correction
          Matt Cohn-Geier -- Saturday, 20 October 2007, at 2:43 a.m.
        • Doubling problem
          Dave -- Saturday, 20 October 2007, at 3:44 a.m.
          • Doubling problem
            Matt Cohn-Geier -- Saturday, 20 October 2007, at 5:03 a.m.
  • Doubling problem
    Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 19 October 2007, at 3:06 p.m.
    • Doubling problem
      Dave -- Friday, 19 October 2007, at 4:11 p.m.
      • Doubling problem
        Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 19 October 2007, at 4:27 p.m.
        • Doubling problem
          Dave -- Friday, 19 October 2007, at 4:43 p.m.
          • Doubling problem
            Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 19 October 2007, at 5:21 p.m.
  • Doubling problem
    bob koca -- Saturday, 20 October 2007, at 12:23 a.m.
    • Doubling problem
      Dave -- Saturday, 20 October 2007, at 1:42 a.m.