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Rollout: Three out of four 4's are easy...

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Wednesday, 23 May 2012, at 9:30 p.m.

In Response To: Three out of four 4's are easy... (Timothy Chow)

I played 21/17 here and couldn't understand why the bot preferred 14/10. I still don't quite understand it, although Daniel's suggestion that the joker 61 is the key factor is an intriguing idea.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 43
1 point match
pip: 127
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--a-BCC-BA-B--A--------hdA:0:0:1:44:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 44

1.Rollout1Bar/21 14/10 11/7(2)eq: +0.723
Player:
Opponent:
86.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
13.87% (G:2.73% B:0.01%)
Conf: ± 0.004 (+0.719...+0.727)
Duration: 2 hours 54 minutes
2.Rollout1Bar/17 11/7(2)eq: +0.705 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:
85.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
14.76% (G:3.60% B:0.01%)
Conf: ± 0.004 (+0.701...+0.709)
Duration: 2 hours 21 minutes
3.Rollout1Bar/21 11/7(2) 6/2* eq: +0.672 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:
83.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
16.39% (G:6.11% B:0.03%)
Conf: ± 0.004 (+0.668...+0.676)
Duration: 4 hours 26 minutes
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
First 6 moves: 4 ply, cube decisions: 3 ply
Remaining moves and cube Decisions: 3 ply
Search interval: Huge

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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