I hope they heed your words of wisdom, Neil...whoever they are?

              
 
              
 | | White is XG Roller
score: 0 pip: 46 | | 5 point match | pip: 135 score: 2
Blue is Mr Majestyk | | | XGID=-a-BBBCB---------A--ABcde-:1:1:1:00:2:0:0:5:10 | | Blue on roll, cube action? | | | Analyzed in Rollout | No redouble | Redouble/Take | | Player Winning Chances: | 82.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 83.80% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | | Opponent Winning Chances: | 17.01% (G:5.07% B:0.03%) | 16.20% (G:6.11% B:0.03%) | | Cubeless Equities | +0.585 | +1.125 | | Cubeful Equities | | No redouble: | +0.928 (-0.050) | ±0.002 (+0.926..+0.930) | | Redouble/Take: | +0.978 | ±0.003 (+0.975..+0.980) | | Redouble/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.022) | | | | Best Cube action: Redouble / Take | | Rollout details | 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 38989588 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
| | | | Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% | | Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% | | Duration: 21 minutes 12 seconds |
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eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 46 | | 5 point match | pip: 135 score: 2
Blue is Player 1 | | | XGID=-a-BBBCB---------A--ABcde-:2:-1:1:66:2:0:0:5:10 | | Blue to play 66 | | | 1. | Rollout1 | 21/15 20/8 17/11 | eq: +0.642 | | Player: Opponent: | 86.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 13.45% (G:3.40% B:0.04%) | Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.640...+0.643) - [100.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 39 seconds |
| | 2. | Rollout1 | 21/9 20/8 | eq: +0.630 (-0.012) | | Player: Opponent: | 86.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 13.89% (G:3.74% B:0.04%) | Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.629...+0.631) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 14 seconds |
| | 3. | Rollout1 | 21/9 20/14 17/11 | eq: +0.624 (-0.018) | | Player: Opponent: | 85.88% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 14.12% (G:3.16% B:0.03%) | Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.623...+0.625) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 57 seconds |
| | | 1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 38989588 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
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eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2
Slotting the back of the prime is not always correct at DMP in these sorts of positions. I had to dig deep to reason out why this is; especially given the differential after 21/9 20/14 17/11.
NBM