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A couple rolls prior — XGR++ Rollouts

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Monday, 28 May 2012, at 7:22 p.m.

In Response To: A couple rolls prior (neilkaz)

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At score, this is a take; but in unlimited games, a pass. Mike

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3-away, 6-away

		White is Player 2 score: 5 pip: 44 11 point match pip: 35 score: 8 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-A-AACB------------dc-aa--:1:1:1:00:8:5:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	87.197% (G:0.000% B:0.000%)	87.196% (G:0.000% B:0.000%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	12.803% (G:0.000% B:0.000%)	12.804% (G:0.000% B:0.000%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.7439	+1.2275
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.8721 (-0.0307)	±0.0013 (+0.8708..+0.8733)
Redouble/Take:	+0.9028	±0.0001 (+0.9027..+0.9029)
Redouble/Pass:	+1.0000 (+0.0972)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 93532854 Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller++
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 6 minutes 55 seconds

Rollout by Taper_Mike eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2 Flashcard PositionID 000555.-3-6.xgp [R 903-31] "&1

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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Unlimited Games

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 44 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 35 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-A-AACB------------dc-aa--:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	87.196% (G:0.000% B:0.000%)	87.199% (G:0.000% B:0.000%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	12.804% (G:0.000% B:0.000%)	12.801% (G:0.000% B:0.000%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.7439	+1.4880
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.9487 (-0.0513)	±0.0005 (+0.9482..+0.9492)
Redouble/Take:	+1.4351 (+0.4351)	±0.0014 (+1.4336..+1.4365)
Redouble/Pass:	+1.0000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 93532854 Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller++
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 4 minutes 09 seconds

Rollout by Taper_Mike eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03 Flashcard PositionID 000555.xgp [R 1435-51] "&1

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

Messages In This Thread

• Chicago 8-5/11 redouble
  Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 28 May 2012, at 4:26 p.m.
  • A couple rolls prior
    neilkaz -- Monday, 28 May 2012, at 4:57 p.m.
    • A couple rolls prior
      Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 28 May 2012, at 5:41 p.m.
    • A couple rolls prior — XGR++ Rollouts
      Taper_Mike -- Monday, 28 May 2012, at 7:22 p.m.
  • Chicago 8-5/11 redouble
    Stick -- Monday, 28 May 2012, at 5:12 p.m.