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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 30 December 2006, at 8:37 a.m.

In Response To: OLM Friday Dec. 29th (Stick)

I thought this was a next too but didn't want to get overzealous with my 'nexting' of positions in case someone tried to talk the readers into the overly fancy and dead wrong split play. The split play let's me POH with like 15 numbers (quick count) and that's not even counting the indirect 6-4 I'd have. (and stripped midpoint you would leave yourself, and no bar point, and, and, and) Cleary inferior, no need to overplay. Readers move 11/7 10/7


Match to 25, White leads 7 to 4
149
162
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 11/7 10/7 -0.226
0.5% 10.3% 43.3% 56.7% 15.0% 0.6%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.183 ±0.021. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 11465 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
2 R 24/20 13/10 -0.295 (-0.070)
0.4% 11.2% 42.0% 58.0% 16.7% 0.9%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.219 ±0.022. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 11717 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.

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