[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Rollouts

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Sunday, 21 October 2007, at 11:05 p.m.

In Response To: Rollouts (Matt Cohn-Geier)

Matt: I also don't see why the difference should be more than .0278. It's not like we added a new 5184 rollout though, just 3888 more trials.

Stick:It would have to been enough to swing the original 1296 game trial to its current equity, -.0455. Understand what I'm trying to say?

I think so. You mean that for the average equity to move from -0.0177 after 1296 trials to -0.0455 after 5182 trials, the average in the last 3888 trials must have been -0.0547, and isn't that a surprisingly low number?

I suppose it is. -0.0547 is slightly below -0.0541, the bottom of the +-2 SD range (~95% confidence interval) reported by the original rollout.

I was counting on someone more naturally mathematically gifted to post the breakdown.

Some of them must be in Peoria.

If you tell Babelfish that accumulate a big stack is Dutch, the English translation is accumulate a piglet pile. Appropriate!

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.