[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Daily Quiz 5/2: XGR+ evals

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 1 June 2012, at 2:27 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 5/2 (Daily Quiz)

Is this the final Daily Quiz?





White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 124
5 point match
pip: 21
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-ABa--a----ba--aA--b-cb-b-:1:-1:1:31:1:2:0:5:10
Blue to play 31

1.Rollout116/13 2/1eq: +1.136
Player:
Opponent:		 75.85% (G:36.46% B:11.55%)
24.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf: ± 0.012 (+1.124...+1.148)
Duration: 1 minute 01 second
2.Rollout116/15* 15/12* eq: +0.915 (-0.221)
Player:
Opponent:		 63.43% (G:40.83% B:27.63%)
36.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf: ± 0.018 (+0.897...+0.933)
Duration: 1 minute 11 seconds
3.Rollout116/12* eq: +0.741 (-0.395)
Player:
Opponent:		 60.80% (G:34.77% B:19.97%)
39.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf: ± 0.015 (+0.726...+0.756)
Duration: 1 minute 14 seconds
1 Truncated at 7 moves using 3 ply.
324 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
First 2 moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Remaining moves: 2 ply, cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

A pretty good example of the effect of the Jacoby rule.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 133
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 123
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BABCC-a---cB--acbe----AA:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 54.57% (G: 25.19% B: 0.49%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 45.43% (G: 7.33% B: 0.37%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.091
Double:+0.528
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.202 (-0.008)
Double/Take:+0.209
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.791)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Without Jacoby:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 133
Money session
pip: 123
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BABCC-a---cB--acbe----AA:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 54.77% (G: 24.35% B: 0.37%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 45.23% (G: 7.18% B: 0.36%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.267
Double:+0.528
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.267
Double/Take:+0.209 (-0.058)
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.733)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

A much easier take than I thought it would be. Good DQR candidate.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 84
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 105
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BbBBBB-B--A---A----cbbccA:2:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 69.65% (G: 15.55% B: 0.39%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 30.35% (G: 9.66% B: 0.17%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.454
Redouble:+0.899
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.664 (-0.021)
Redouble/Take:+0.685
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.315)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.