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Recube action vs Justin in Chicago

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Friday, 1 June 2012, at 2:27 p.m.

In Response To: Recube action vs Justin in Chicago (neilkaz)

I calculate white's raw takepoint as 17/67 (25.4%), or about the same as money, the difference is that white should be fairly reluctant to recube so when we add in the recube vig the live cube takepoint should be a bit higher than for money.

This is shaping up to be an ace point game, but it isn't yet. White has much more winning chances than the typical 15 to 20% of an ace point game. That tells me it's a take, but not a huge one.

As for the double, if I'm right about it being a close take it must be a redouble. There's plenty of market losers (hit dance, 44) so I say ship it.

R/T

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