[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

OTB and RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Sunday, 3 June 2012, at 2:47 p.m.

In Response To: Recube action vs Justin in Chicago (neilkaz)

OTB I said on Ustream stuff like I'm playing a great player, behind in the match, might win a G and recubed inspite of having quite a few rolls that don't work and inspite of Justin having decent counter chanced almost no matter what I roll this turn.

I'd expect my side to win 3 or 4% more total games than the RO shows. Anyhow, Justin correctly took and things went my way for a while as he soon had 5 checkers on my ace pt behind a 5 pt prime, but then a bad 33 cracked me and a loss followed.





White is Justin Nunez

score: 4
pip: 143
9 point match
pip: 137
score: 3

Blue is Neil Kazaross
XGID=-bBBBaC-----bCa-A--bbcAbA-:1:1:1:00:3:4:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 55.931% (G:25.950% B:4.976%) 55.716% (G:25.712% B:10.545%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 44.069% (G:18.505% B:1.492%) 44.284% (G:19.067% B:3.152%)
Cubeless Equities +0.2686 +0.5240
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.4638±0.0061 (+0.4578..+0.4699)
Redouble/Take:+0.4311 (-0.0327)±0.0087 (+0.4224..+0.4398)
Redouble/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.5362)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 5.4%
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 78623594
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 47 minutes 29 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.