I wished to repeat this comment by David Rockwell because I thought it useful and had not seen it before:
Here is a rollout of David's altered position with the spare on the 2 point instead of the 3 point:
| # | Ply | Move | Equity |
| | 1 | R | 3/1 3/off | +0.3860 |
| | | 0.5798 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.4202 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | +0.1597 | +0.3860 | | 0.0004 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.0004 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0009 | 0.0020 | | |
| | Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| | 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 920798146 and quasi-random dice | |
| | Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 | |
| | Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| | Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| • | 2 | R | 6/4 6/3 | +0.3674 ( -0.0186) |
| | | 0.5693 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.4307 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | +0.1386 | +0.3674 | | 0.0004 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.0004 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0008 | 0.0019 | | |
| | Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| | 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 920798146 and quasi-random dice | |
| | Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 | |
| | Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| | Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | 3 | R | 3/off 2/off | +0.3447 ( -0.0413) |
| | | 0.5591 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.4409 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | +0.1182 | +0.3447 | | 0.0007 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.0007 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0014 | 0.0021 | | |
| | Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| | 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 920798146 and quasi-random dice | |
| | Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 | |
| | Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| | Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | 4 | R | 6/3 2/off | +0.3000 ( -0.0860) |
| | | 0.5441 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.4559 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | +0.0882 | +0.3000 | | 0.0004 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.0004 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0008 | 0.0016 | | |
| | Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| | 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 920798146 and quasi-random dice | |
| | Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 | |
| | Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| | Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| # | Ply | Move | Equity |
| | 1 | R | 3/1 3/off | +0.3733 |
| | | 0.5745 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.4255 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | +0.1490 | +0.3733 | | 0.0005 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.0005 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0010 | 0.0022 | | |
| | Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| | 1297 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 920798146 and quasi-random dice | |
| | Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 | |
| | Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| | Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| • | 2 | R | 6/4 6/3 | +0.3332 ( -0.0401) |
| | | 0.5532 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.4468 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | +0.1065 | +0.3332 | | 0.0004 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.0004 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0008 | 0.0022 | | |
| | Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| | 1297 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 920798146 and quasi-random dice | |
| | Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 | |
| | Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| | Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | 3 | R | 5/off | +0.2983 ( -0.0750) |
| | | 0.5346 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.4654 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | +0.0693 | +0.2983 | | 0.0005 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.0005 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0009 | 0.0021 | | |
| | Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| | 1297 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 920798146 and quasi-random dice | |
| | Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 | |
| | Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| | Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | 4 | R | 4/1 2/off | +0.2525 ( -0.1209) |
| | | 0.5160 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.4840 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | +0.0321 | +0.2525 | | 0.0008 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.0008 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0017 | 0.0029 | | |
| | Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| | 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 920798146 and quasi-random dice | |
| | Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 | |
| | Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| | Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | 5 | R | 6/1 | +0.2464 ( -0.1269) |
| | | 0.5125 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.4875 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | +0.0250 | +0.2464 | | 0.0005 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.0005 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0009 | 0.0022 | | |
| | Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| | 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 920798146 and quasi-random dice | |
| | Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 | |
| | Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| | Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | 6 | R | 5/3 5/2 | +0.2402 ( -0.1331) |
| | | 0.5119 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.4881 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | +0.0238 | +0.2402 | | 0.0004 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.0004 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0009 | 0.0021 | | |
| | Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| | 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 920798146 and quasi-random dice | |
| | Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 | |
| | Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| | Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| # | Ply | Move | Equity |
| | 1 | R | 6/4 1/off | +0.4094 |
| | | 0.5646 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.4354 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | +0.1291 | +0.4094 | | 0.0005 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.0005 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0010 | 0.0026 | | |
| | Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| | 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 920798146 and quasi-random dice | |
| | Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 | |
| | Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| | Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| • | 2 | R | 2/1 2/off | +0.3832 ( -0.0263) |
| | | 0.5827 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.4173 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | +0.1653 | +0.3832 | | 0.0005 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.0005 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0010 | 0.0020 | | |
| | Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| | 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 920798146 and quasi-random dice | |
| | Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 | |
| | Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| | Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | 3 | R | 6/5 6/4 | +0.3792 ( -0.0303) |
| | | 0.5703 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.4297 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | +0.1405 | +0.3792 | | 0.0004 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.0004 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0008 | 0.0023 | | |
| | Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| | 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 920798146 and quasi-random dice | |
| | Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 | |
| | Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| | Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | 4 | R | 2/off 1/off | +0.3756 ( -0.0338) |
| | | 0.5721 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.4279 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | +0.1443 | +0.3756 | | 0.0008 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.0008 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0016 | 0.0025 | | |
| | Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| | 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 920798146 and quasi-random dice | |
| | Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 | |
| | Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| | Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| # | Ply | Move | Equity |
| • | 1 | R | 2/off 1/off | +0.4910 |
| | | 0.6146 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.3854 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | +0.2293 | +0.4910 | | 0.0006 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.0006 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0012 | 0.0026 | | |
| | Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| | 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 920798146 and quasi-random dice | |
| | Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 | |
| | Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| | Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | 2 | R | 6/5 2/off | +0.3931 ( -0.0979) |
| | | 0.5608 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.4392 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | +0.1215 | +0.3931 | | 0.0005 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.0005 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0010 | 0.0027 | | |
| | Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| | 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 920798146 and quasi-random dice | |
| | Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 | |
| | Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| | Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | 3 | R | 6/5 6/4 | +0.3714 ( -0.1197) |
| | | 0.5661 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.4339 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | +0.1321 | +0.3714 | | 0.0004 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | - | 0.0004 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0008 | 0.0023 | | |
| | Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | |
| | 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 920798146 and quasi-random dice | |
| | Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 | |
| | Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | |
| | Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | |
| | 4 | 2 | 5/4 2/off | +0.2209 ( -0.2701) |
| | 0.5255 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.4745 0.0000 0.0000 | |