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Rollout and OTB

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Tuesday, 23 October 2007, at 12:07 p.m.

In Response To: -5-2 cube action (neilkaz)

OTB, I took a bit of time here and saw that match score factors should make this a good cube. Steve took, off course and I hit him with 52 but he escaped the G. Later on I won the match 9-7.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 7, user 4 (match to 9 points)

Move number 12: user on roll, cube decision?

Pip counts: gnubg 127, user 129
Position ID: uNsaADDY7g4AMA Match ID: cAkgAXAAIAAA

• user doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.2896	(Money: +0.2262)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.6365
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.3635
3.	No double	+0.5597	-0.0768
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.5979 0.1916 0.0129 - 0.4021 0.1509 0.0232 +0.2896 +0.5597 Standard error 0.0015 0.0014 0.0004 - 0.0015 0.0033 0.0020 0.0056 0.0078 Player gnubg owns 2-cube 0.5990 0.1887 0.0123 - 0.4010 0.1779 0.0352 +0.6365 +0.6365 Standard error 0.0019 0.0017 0.0005 - 0.0019 0.0048 0.0029 0.0112 0.0112
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2066 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1043444284 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• -5-2 cube action
  neilkaz -- Monday, 22 October 2007, at 4:33 a.m.
  • -5-2 cube action
    Keene -- Monday, 22 October 2007, at 2:19 p.m.
    • -5-2 cube action
      Caryl Stephanson -- Monday, 22 October 2007, at 5:31 p.m.
      • -5-2 cube action
        Keene -- Monday, 22 October 2007, at 6:39 p.m.
        • -5-2 cube action
          Caryl Stephanson -- Tuesday, 23 October 2007, at 3:34 p.m.
  • -5-2 cube action
    Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 22 October 2007, at 2:44 p.m.
  • -5-2 cube action
    Caryl Stephanson -- Monday, 22 October 2007, at 5:27 p.m.
  • Rollout and OTB
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 23 October 2007, at 12:07 p.m.