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2 plays: early 66 with a big pip lead ... RO's

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Monday, 18 June 2012, at 5:12 p.m.

In Response To: 2 plays: early 66 with a big pip lead ... (Daniel Murphy)

The score (after 9 games) is: Matt Cohn-Geier 6, Howard Markowitz 7 (match to 11 points)

Move number 5: Howard Markowitz to play 66

Matt Cohn-Geier	156
Howard Markowitz	151
Position ID: sGfhASLg8+ADIA Match ID: cAl7AWAAOAAE

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0.0107	(Money: -0.0483)
	0.4919 0.1124 0.0035 - 0.5081 0.1440 0.0039
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	-0.0267
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+1.0267
3.	Double, take	-0.5344	-0.5077
Proper cube action:		No double, take (33.1%)

Alert: bad move ( -0.046)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	13/1*(2)	+0.1674
			0.5161 0.1688 0.0137 - 0.4839 0.1156 0.0056 +0.1157 +0.1674 0.0015 0.0024 0.0021 - 0.0015 0.0016 0.0011 0.0046 0.0115
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 922200822 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	13/7(2) 8/2(2)	+0.1222 ( -0.0452)
			0.5113 0.1557 0.0103 - 0.4887 0.1178 0.0042 +0.0828 +0.1222 0.0015 0.0025 0.0017 - 0.0015 0.0016 0.0005 0.0046 0.0107
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 922200822 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	3	R	24/18 13/7(3)	+0.1216 ( -0.0459)
			0.5263 0.1178 0.0116 - 0.4737 0.1227 0.0054 +0.0506 +0.1216 0.0016 0.0024 0.0019 - 0.0016 0.0016 0.0010 0.0052 0.0127
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 922200822 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 1 game) is: Bill Riles 0, Justin Nunez 1 (match to 9 points)

Move number 12: Bill Riles to play 66

Bill Riles	129
Justin Nunez	133
Position ID: 4LsHAyDg24UHAA Match ID: MAE7AQAACAAE

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.4285	(Money: +0.4306)
	0.6913 0.0790 0.0010 - 0.3087 0.0320 0.0001
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.6766
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.3234
3.	Double, take	+0.6586	-0.0179
Proper cube action:		No double, take (5.3%)

Alert: very bad move ( -0.093)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	13/1*(2)	+0.8727
			0.7490 0.1478 0.0009 - 0.2510 0.0302 0.0006 +0.6164 +0.8727 0.0008 0.0014 0.0001 - 0.0008 0.0005 0.0001 0.0018 0.0035
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 922200822 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	R	13/7(4)	+0.7794 ( -0.0932)
			0.7089 0.0702 0.0008 - 0.2911 0.0272 0.0002 +0.4612 +0.7794 0.0009 0.0008 0.0001 - 0.0009 0.0006 0.0001 0.0021 0.0046
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 922200822 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• 2 plays: early 66 with a big pip lead ...
  Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 15 June 2012, at 11:26 p.m.
  • 2 plays: early 66 with a big pip lead ...
    Casper van der Tak -- Saturday, 16 June 2012, at 7:56 a.m.
  • 2 plays: early 66 with a big pip lead ...
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 16 June 2012, at 4:31 p.m.
  • 2 plays: early 66 with a big pip lead ... RO's
    Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 18 June 2012, at 5:12 p.m.
    • 2 plays: early 66 with a big pip lead ... RO's
      Daniel Murphy -- Thursday, 28 June 2012, at 5:57 p.m.