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Rollout: Not quite your standard cube action

Posted By: Bob Koca
Date: Wednesday, 4 July 2012, at 4:43 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout: Not quite your standard cube action (Timothy Chow)

For money my rollout shows cube to be .03 error so a ND but not a bg ND.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 147
Unlimited Game
pip: 128
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-B--FbC--adB----B-abb-b-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 63.177% (G:24.895% B:1.030%) 62.917% (G:25.708% B:1.141%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 36.823% (G:9.980% B:0.316%) 37.083% (G:10.157% B:0.329%)
Cubeless Equities +0.4198 +0.8440
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.6038±0.0144 (+0.5894..+0.6182)
Double/Take:+0.5739 (-0.0299)±0.0193 (+0.5546..+0.5932)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.3962)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 6.6%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:99.3%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 28 minutes 11 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02

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