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Rollout: 43D-64R-64P-41S-21

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Wednesday, 4 July 2012, at 8:35 p.m.

In Response To: 43D-64R-64P-41S-21 (Timothy Chow)

The QF play is W (24/22 6/5) but Chuck's straightforward S (24/22 9/8) is the #1 play according to the rollout. Note that N (9/8 6/4) doesn't fare too poorly, despite the ugly dilly builder. The race is even so converting a blot into a spare on the 8pt is a plus.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 152
Money session
Jacoby
pip: 150
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--a-B-E-BA--eC-a-c-e----B-:0:0:1:21:0:0:1:0:10
Blue to play 21

1.Rollout124/22 9/8eq: +0.068
Player:
Opponent:
50.95% (G:15.85% B:0.51%)
49.05% (G:11.09% B:0.50%)
Conf: ± 0.010 (+0.058...+0.078)
Duration: 8 hours 27 minutes
2.Rollout19/8 6/4eq: +0.047 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:
49.86% (G:16.78% B:0.49%)
50.14% (G:11.25% B:0.59%)
Conf: ± 0.010 (+0.037...+0.057)
Duration: 8 hours 27 minutes
3.Rollout124/22 6/5eq: +0.027 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:
49.93% (G:17.03% B:0.57%)
50.07% (G:13.15% B:0.80%)
Conf: ± 0.010 (+0.017...+0.037)
Duration: 10 hours 03 minutes
4.Rollout113/11 6/5eq: +0.011 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:
49.35% (G:18.34% B:0.63%)
50.65% (G:13.90% B:1.11%)
Conf: ± 0.012 (-0.001...+0.023)
Duration: 10 hours 09 minutes
5.Rollout124/23 6/4eq: +0.008 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:
49.16% (G:16.59% B:0.56%)
50.84% (G:11.75% B:0.68%)
Conf: ± 0.010 (-0.002...+0.018)
Duration: 8 hours 51 minutes
6.Rollout213/11 9/8eq: +0.001 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:
48.63% (G:17.16% B:0.47%)
51.37% (G:12.49% B:0.72%)
Conf: ± 0.020 (-0.019...+0.021)
Duration: 1 hour 59 minutes
7.Rollout26/5 6/4eq: -0.011 (-0.079)
Player:
Opponent:
48.61% (G:17.41% B:0.61%)
51.39% (G:13.02% B:0.86%)
Conf: ± 0.021 (-0.032...+0.010)
Duration: 2 hours 12 minutes
8.Rollout213/10eq: -0.024 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:
48.10% (G:17.09% B:0.50%)
51.90% (G:12.70% B:0.77%)
Conf: ± 0.020 (-0.044...-0.004)
Duration: 2 hours 02 minutes
9.Rollout224/21eq: -0.029 (-0.098)
Player:
Opponent:
48.69% (G:14.93% B:0.47%)
51.31% (G:12.01% B:0.62%)
Conf: ± 0.020 (-0.049...-0.009)
Duration: 2 hours 02 minutes
10.Rollout224/23 24/22eq: -0.032 (-0.100)
Player:
Opponent:
48.61% (G:15.10% B:0.50%)
51.39% (G:12.00% B:0.64%)
Conf: ± 0.021 (-0.053...-0.011)
Duration: 2 hours 05 minutes
11.Rollout224/23 13/11eq: -0.034 (-0.102)
Player:
Opponent:
48.34% (G:16.14% B:0.57%)
51.66% (G:12.87% B:0.82%)
Conf: ± 0.020 (-0.054...-0.014)
Duration: 2 hours 00 minute
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

2 1207 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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