The QF play is W (24/22 6/5) but Chuck's straightforward S (24/22 9/8) is the #1 play according to the rollout. Note that N (9/8 6/4) doesn't fare too poorly, despite the ugly dilly builder. The race is even so converting a blot into a spare on the 8pt is a plus.
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/22 9/8 | eq: +0.068 |
| Player: Opponent: | 50.95% (G:15.85% B:0.51%) 49.05% (G:11.09% B:0.50%) | Conf: ± 0.010 (+0.058...+0.078) Duration: 8 hours 27 minutes |
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| 2. | Rollout1 | 9/8 6/4 | eq: +0.047 (-0.021) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.86% (G:16.78% B:0.49%) 50.14% (G:11.25% B:0.59%) | Conf: ± 0.010 (+0.037...+0.057) Duration: 8 hours 27 minutes |
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| 3. | Rollout1 | 24/22 6/5 | eq: +0.027 (-0.041) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.93% (G:17.03% B:0.57%) 50.07% (G:13.15% B:0.80%) | Conf: ± 0.010 (+0.017...+0.037) Duration: 10 hours 03 minutes |
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| 4. | Rollout1 | 13/11 6/5 | eq: +0.011 (-0.057) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.35% (G:18.34% B:0.63%) 50.65% (G:13.90% B:1.11%) | Conf: ± 0.012 (-0.001...+0.023) Duration: 10 hours 09 minutes |
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| 5. | Rollout1 | 24/23 6/4 | eq: +0.008 (-0.060) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.16% (G:16.59% B:0.56%) 50.84% (G:11.75% B:0.68%) | Conf: ± 0.010 (-0.002...+0.018) Duration: 8 hours 51 minutes |
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| 6. | Rollout2 | 13/11 9/8 | eq: +0.001 (-0.068) |
| Player: Opponent: | 48.63% (G:17.16% B:0.47%) 51.37% (G:12.49% B:0.72%) | Conf: ± 0.020 (-0.019...+0.021) Duration: 1 hour 59 minutes |
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| 7. | Rollout2 | 6/5 6/4 | eq: -0.011 (-0.079) |
| Player: Opponent: | 48.61% (G:17.41% B:0.61%) 51.39% (G:13.02% B:0.86%) | Conf: ± 0.021 (-0.032...+0.010) Duration: 2 hours 12 minutes |
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| 8. | Rollout2 | 13/10 | eq: -0.024 (-0.092) |
| Player: Opponent: | 48.10% (G:17.09% B:0.50%) 51.90% (G:12.70% B:0.77%) | Conf: ± 0.020 (-0.044...-0.004) Duration: 2 hours 02 minutes |
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| 9. | Rollout2 | 24/21 | eq: -0.029 (-0.098) |
| Player: Opponent: | 48.69% (G:14.93% B:0.47%) 51.31% (G:12.01% B:0.62%) | Conf: ± 0.020 (-0.049...-0.009) Duration: 2 hours 02 minutes |
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| 10. | Rollout2 | 24/23 24/22 | eq: -0.032 (-0.100) |
| Player: Opponent: | 48.61% (G:15.10% B:0.50%) 51.39% (G:12.00% B:0.64%) | Conf: ± 0.021 (-0.053...-0.011) Duration: 2 hours 05 minutes |
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| 11. | Rollout2 | 24/23 13/11 | eq: -0.034 (-0.102) |
| Player: Opponent: | 48.34% (G:16.14% B:0.57%) 51.66% (G:12.87% B:0.82%) | Conf: ± 0.020 (-0.054...-0.014) Duration: 2 hours 00 minute |
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1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 2 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
2 1207 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 2 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
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