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Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Thursday, 5 July 2012, at 1:29 a.m.

In Response To: 6a-11a recube action? (John O'Hagan)

After adjusting for g's and recube vig, I came up with a takepoint of around 16.5% for the trailer ATS. Looked like a take but not by much. It's a pretty volatile position as well since oppt will mostly have a big pass unless he hits somewhere or rolls boxes. So I recubed and it took. I rolled 43 and ran, it rolled the 62 joker, I danced and then couldn't take the 8-cube.

is XG Roller+

score: 2
pip: 102
13 point match
pip: 82
score: 7

is John O'Hagan
XGID=-bCCCBB----A-a-----bbcAcb-:1:1:1:00:7:2:0:13:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 80.40% (G:18.75% B:1.24%) 81.35% (G:17.77% B:2.44%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 19.60% (G:1.00% B:0.02%) 18.65% (G:1.59% B:0.04%)
Cubeless Equities +0.776 +1.231
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.862 (-0.006)±0.002 (+0.860..+0.863)
Redouble/Take:+0.868±0.003 (+0.865..+0.871)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.132)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
11664 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 49 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2

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