[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

D/T-63-C and D/T-65-C Rollouts

Posted By: Neil Robins
Date: Tuesday, 10 July 2012, at 1:01 p.m.

In Response To: Backgame! (Timothy Chow)

To my mind the recube after 65 with 3 off will be correct with perfect play but is a solid practical hold given who is likely to face the difficult decisions.





White is Player 1

score: 4
pip: 53
7 point match
pip: 133
score: 1

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-bCbDEA------------bbbbba-:1:-1:-1:00:4:1:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 51.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 52.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 48.11% (G:24.32% B:7.33%) 47.01% (G:28.45% B:7.84%)
Cubeless Equities -0.137 +0.295
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.264 (-0.032)±0.004 (+0.259..+0.268)
Redouble/Take:+0.295±0.006 (+0.290..+0.301)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.705)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 31247
First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 18 minutes 01 second

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross





White is Player 1

score: 4
pip: 51
7 point match
pip: 133
score: 1

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-bBbDEA------------bbbbba-:1:-1:-1:00:4:1:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 50.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 51.87% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 49.06% (G:26.32% B:7.93%) 48.13% (G:29.72% B:9.25%)
Cubeless Equities -0.170 +0.253
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.249 (-0.004)±0.005 (+0.244..+0.254)
Redouble/Take:+0.253±0.006 (+0.246..+0.259)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.747)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 31247
First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:82.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 19 minutes 15 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross





White is Player 1

score: 4
pip: 70
7 point match
pip: 126
score: 1

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-bB-DEaa-----------bbbbbaA:1:-1:-1:00:4:1:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in XG Roller No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 73.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 73.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 26.14% (G:9.84% B:1.14%) 26.26% (G:11.75% B:1.61%)
Cubeless Equities +0.407 +1.083
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.902 (-0.098)
Redouble/Take:+1.083 (+0.083)
xg Redouble/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response

Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:

 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.