To my mind the recube after 65 with 3 off will be correct with perfect play but is a solid practical hold given who is likely to face the difficult decisions.

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 1
score: 4 pip: 53 | | 7 point match | pip: 133 score: 1
Blue is Player 2 | | | XGID=-bCbDEA------------bbbbba-:1:-1:-1:00:4:1:0:7:10 | | Blue on roll, cube action? | | | Analyzed in Rollout | No redouble | Redouble/Take | | Player Winning Chances: | 51.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 52.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | | Opponent Winning Chances: | 48.11% (G:24.32% B:7.33%) | 47.01% (G:28.45% B:7.84%) | | Cubeless Equities | -0.137 | +0.295 | | Cubeful Equities | | No redouble: | +0.264 (-0.032) | ±0.004 (+0.259..+0.268) | | Redouble/Take: | +0.295 | ±0.006 (+0.290..+0.301) | | Redouble/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.705) | | | | Best Cube action: Redouble / Take | | Rollout details | 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 31247 First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
| | | | Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% | | Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% | | Duration: 18 minutes 01 second |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 1
score: 4 pip: 51 | | 7 point match | pip: 133 score: 1
Blue is Player 2 | | | XGID=-bBbDEA------------bbbbba-:1:-1:-1:00:4:1:0:7:10 | | Blue on roll, cube action? | | | Analyzed in Rollout | No redouble | Redouble/Take | | Player Winning Chances: | 50.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 51.87% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | | Opponent Winning Chances: | 49.06% (G:26.32% B:7.93%) | 48.13% (G:29.72% B:9.25%) | | Cubeless Equities | -0.170 | +0.253 | | Cubeful Equities | | No redouble: | +0.249 (-0.004) | ±0.005 (+0.244..+0.254) | | Redouble/Take: | +0.253 | ±0.006 (+0.246..+0.259) | | Redouble/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.747) | | | | Best Cube action: Redouble / Take | | Rollout details | 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 31247 First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
| | | | Double Decision confidence: | 82.0% | | Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% | | Duration: 19 minutes 15 seconds |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 1
score: 4 pip: 70 | | 7 point match | pip: 126 score: 1
Blue is Player 2 | | | XGID=-bB-DEaa-----------bbbbbaA:1:-1:-1:00:4:1:0:7:10 | | Blue on roll, cube action? | | | Analyzed in XG Roller | No redouble | Redouble/Take | | Player Winning Chances: | 73.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 73.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | | Opponent Winning Chances: | 26.14% (G:9.84% B:1.14%) | 26.26% (G:11.75% B:1.61%) | | Cubeless Equities | +0.407 | +1.083 | | Cubeful Equities | | No redouble: | +0.902 (-0.098) | | | Redouble/Take: | +1.083 (+0.083) | | Redouble/Pass: | +1.000 | | | | Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross