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One more position --- ROLLOUT

Posted By: Petter Bengtsson
Date: Tuesday, 10 July 2012, at 10:04 p.m.

In Response To: One more position (Petter Bengtsson)

Falafel doubled. Michi took and won a gammon.

Question to Paul: Do you want me to also post rollouts of the other positions?





White is Player 1

score: 17
pip: 169
21 point match
pip: 177
score: 10

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-c---BBBB---cC-A-bbcb--AB-:0:0:1:00:10:17:0:21:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 57,76% (G:18,94% B:1,30%) 58,34% (G:19,31% B:1,27%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 42,24% (G:15,43% B:2,56%) 41,66% (G:15,73% B:3,71%)
Cubeless Equities +0,148 +0,493
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0,511±0,014 (+0,497..+0,526)
Double/Take:+0,446 (-0,065)±0,018 (+0,428..+0,464)
Double/Pass:+1,000 (+0,489)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 10,5%
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 13579
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100,0%
Take Decision confidence:100,0%
Duration: 1 hour 21 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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