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Rollout: Blitz!

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Wednesday, 11 July 2012, at 12:54 a.m.

In Response To: Blitz! (Timothy Chow)

I was White here, playing XG1 3-ply. I was expecting to be doubled, but XG didn't double. It covered the 4pt and lost its market.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 146
Money session
pip: 126
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=bB-BACC--A--c----b-ccb--C-:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 61.43% (G: 43.62% B: 0.54%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 38.57% (G: 12.57% B: 0.87%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 62.24% (G: 44.78% B: 0.41%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 37.76% (G: 12.15% B: 0.87%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.536
Redouble:+1.133
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.729 (-0.090)
Redouble/Take:+0.818
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.182)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
First 4 moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
Remaining moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.008 (+0.720...+0.737)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.016 (+0.803...+0.834)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 8 hours 35 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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