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Which MET to call the play right?; RO

Posted By: higonefive
Date: Thursday, 12 July 2012, at 4:39 a.m.

In Response To: Which MET to call the play right? (higonefive)

		White is Player 2 score: 13 pip: 149 23 point match pip: 143 score: 14 Blue is Player 1
XGID=a--BBBB-B---d-Bc-b-cBb-A--:0:0:1:00:14:13:0:23:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	67,01% (G:29,48% B:0,37%)	67,95% (G:29,26% B:0,49%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	32,99% (G:4,91% B:0,19%)	32,05% (G:5,02% B:0,24%)
Cubeless Equities	+0,590	+1,231
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0,810 (-0,140)	±0,012 (+0,799..+0,822)
Double/Take:	+0,951	±0,018 (+0,933..+0,968)
Double/Pass:	+1,000 (+0,049)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100,0%
Take Decision confidence:		100,0%
Duration: 1 hour 01 minute

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

Once again, if you are the stronger player, would you let this go and pass? Is a pass justified? Or is a pass only justified for a superchamp who will judge like this: "taking is not a bargain, and the position is easy to play for my opponent, i have to face several difficult decisions playing on, eating up perhaps the little price of the insurance i will pay now with a pass."

Messages In This Thread

• Which MET to call the play right?
  higonefive -- Wednesday, 11 July 2012, at 4:42 p.m.
  • Which MET to call the play right?
    Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 11 July 2012, at 5:34 p.m.
  • Which MET to call the play right?; RO
    higonefive -- Thursday, 12 July 2012, at 4:39 a.m.
    • Which MET to call the play right?; RO
      Casper van der Tak -- Thursday, 12 July 2012, at 10:01 a.m.