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16-away 22-away cube action *** RO ***

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Thursday, 12 July 2012, at 2:23 p.m.

In Response To: 16-away 22-away cube action *** RO *** (Daniel Murphy)

XG rollout. Was this problem constructed, or did it come up in an actual match? .001 equity differences make me suspicious...





White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 106
25 point match
pip: 65
score: 9

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBbEaE--A---------bbbbbb-:2:1:1:00:9:3:0:25:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 82.86% (G:9.42% B:0.11%) 83.04% (G:11.07% B:0.22%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 17.14% (G:0.20% B:0.00%) 16.96% (G:0.19% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.728 +1.153
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.867 (-0.001)±0.003 (+0.865..+0.870)
Redouble/Take:+0.868±0.008 (+0.860..+0.877)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.132)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:59.4%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 8 minutes 05 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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