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Some positions from novi #2

Posted By: benf
Date: Saturday, 14 July 2012, at 7:51 p.m.

In Response To: Some positions from novi #2 (benf)

I did end up diagramming this one wrong. I was not in this game but I was very surprised that the box partner who offered to take all of the added equity of doubling wanted to pass everything here when it got shipped to 4.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 140
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 144
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=a-b-CBDA--AA-----bccbbC---:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 61.56% (G:19.18% B:0.88%) 61.55% (G:18.96% B:0.90%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 38.44% (G:10.25% B:0.43%) 38.45% (G:10.19% B:0.41%)
Cubeless Equities +0.325 +0.647
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.544
Redouble/Take:+0.360 (-0.184)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.456)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 22.3%

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

I was the last man standing on the team here playing as blue holding a 4 cube. I knew I was hitting as soon as I rolled it but I failed to get the six right anyways. Sometimes it takes more cojones to button up and let your opponent roll.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 105
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 118
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBBaBB------Bb-AbbcAbAc--:2:1:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 61

1.XG Roller++22/16 13/12eq: -0.207
Player:
Opponent:
39.32% (G:10.32% B:0.19%)
60.68% (G:21.62% B:0.68%)
2.XG Roller++22/16 5/4* eq: -0.258 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:
40.98% (G:11.80% B:0.20%)
59.02% (G:32.62% B:1.17%)
3.XG Roller++16/10 5/4* eq: -0.273 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:
41.06% (G:12.99% B:0.19%)
58.94% (G:33.60% B:4.39%)
4.2-ply22/15eq: -0.393 (-0.186)
Player:
Opponent:
34.65% (G:8.89% B:0.25%)
65.35% (G:28.77% B:1.17%)
5.2-ply13/6eq: -0.430 (-0.223)
Player:
Opponent:
33.20% (G:11.57% B:0.58%)
66.80% (G:30.75% B:2.44%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

Cube action after my play and a fan.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 109
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 111
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aBBBAAB---A--Bb--bbcAbAc--:2:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

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