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MC F 13-10/25 cube ROLLOUT

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Monday, 16 July 2012, at 6:49 p.m.

In Response To: MC F 13-10/25 cube (Daniel Murphy)





White is Player 2

score: 13
pip: 157
25 point match
pip: 200
score: 10

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-aa-CCBb--aB--a--bbbbBBA:0:0:-1:00:10:13:0:25:10
White on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 71.62% (G:40.12% B:8.16%) 70.56% (G:40.31% B:9.40%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 28.38% (G:3.23% B:0.18%) 29.44% (G:3.18% B:0.21%)
Cubeless Equities +0.902 +1.770
Cubeful Equities
No double:+1.076±0.017 (+1.060..+1.093)
Double/Take:+1.444 (+0.368)±0.034 (+1.410..+1.478)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.076)
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 17.2%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 07 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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