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Rollout: A hit and a dance and...?

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 19 July 2012, at 12:19 a.m.

In Response To: A hit and a dance and...? (Timothy Chow)

I doubled here and was a bit distressed that the bot frowned, but I feel better about my double after reading the comments.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 144
Money session
pip: 74
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=abFBBCa---------AAbbbc-b--:2:1:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 60.96% (G: 31.14% B: 3.08%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 39.04% (G: 3.98% B: 0.14%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 60.21% (G: 30.79% B: 3.25%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 39.79% (G: 3.72% B: 0.13%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.520
Redouble:+1.012
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.727
Redouble/Take:+0.674 (-0.053)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.273)
Best Cube action: No Redouble / Take
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
First 4 moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
Remaining moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.009 (+0.718...+0.736)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.017 (+0.657...+0.691)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 7 hours 35 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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