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Whats happening here?

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 19 July 2012, at 5:11 p.m.

In Response To: Whats happening here? (Leonardo Jerkovic)

There seem to have been no responses to this one, so let me give it a shot.

White has two on the bar against a four-point board and a sizable race deficit. Blue has a double shot at a third blot. All this is bad news for White, but Blue has an ace-point blot that is difficult to cover, a 5pt gap, and White has a strong three-point board. I think White wins over 30% from here and the key question seems to be the gammon percentages on both sides. White will certainly get gammoned quite a bit but if the game turns around, Blue could also get gammoned. D/T is my assessment.

Anyone got a rollout?

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