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3-3 to play - * RO *
Posted By: Daniel Murphy In Response To: 3-3 to play (Daniel Murphy)
Date: Friday, 20 July 2012, at 2:28 p.m.
OTB Bob looked at both plays and made the better one.
The score (after 10 games) is: philf 3, BobKoca 8 (match to 11 points)
Move number 19: BobKoca to play 33
philf 116
BobKoca 105 Position ID: Zu+AIRCw+w8IAA Match ID: cIltATAAQAAE • BobKoca moves 14/8* 7/4(2)
Cube decision 2-ply cubeless equity +0.194099 (Money: +0.18619 +0.194099) 0.595474 0.065492 0.001403 - 0.404526 0.070656 0.000994 Cubeful equities: 1. No double +0.178411 2. Double, pass +1.000000 +0.821589 3. Double, take -0.653362 -0.831774 Proper cube action: No double, take (50.3%)
Alert: lucky roll! ( +0.473)
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R 14/8* 7/4(2) +0.530717
0.684091 0.134145 0.003689 - 0.315909 0.051201 0.000872 +0.422396 +0.530717 0.002424 0.007415 0.000804 - 0.002424 0.003153 0.000156 0.008037 0.018085 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 287 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 690196698 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 14/8* 5/2*(2) +0.393280 ( -0.137437)
0.641701 0.083432 0.004257 - 0.358299 0.060085 0.002095 +0.270953 +0.393280 0.003200 0.009043 0.002866 - 0.003200 0.003096 0.000667 0.008938 0.017116 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 287 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 690196698 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Me-1 0
Move number 3: Me-1 to play 33
White 116
Me-1 105 Position ID: Zu+AIRCw+w8IAA Match ID: cIkNAAAAAAAE • Me-1 moves 14/8* 7/4(2)
Cube decision 2-ply cubeless equity +0.185300 0.595638 0.063517 0.001330 - 0.404362 0.069834 0.000989 Cubeful equities: 1. No double +0.305568 2. Double, pass +1.000000 +0.694432 3. Double, take +0.111625 -0.193943 Proper cube action: No double, take (21.8%)
Alert: lucky roll! ( +0.543)
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R 14/8* 7/4(2) +0.608886
0.681031 0.121808 0.003024 - 0.318969 0.048093 0.000865 +0.437938 +0.608886 0.001181 0.001236 0.000198 - 0.001181 0.001314 0.000130 0.002837 0.005803 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1297 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 690196698 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 14/8* 5/2*(2) +0.508520 ( -0.100366)
0.641309 0.073120 0.000654 - 0.358691 0.065815 0.001026 +0.289549 +0.508520 0.001536 0.001373 0.000222 - 0.001536 0.001562 0.000095 0.003760 0.008227 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 690196698 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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