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Variant (truncated rollout)

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 22 July 2012, at 12:09 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout: A hit and a dance and...? (Casper van der Tak)

This made a much bigger difference than I expected!





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 144
Money session
pip: 75
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=abECBCa---------AAbbbc-b--:2:1:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 63.97% (G: 32.65% B: 3.51%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 36.03% (G: 3.24% B: 0.12%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 64.35% (G: 33.61% B: 3.97%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 35.65% (G: 2.90% B: 0.10%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.607
Redouble:+1.265
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.833 (-0.167)
Redouble/Take:+1.013 (+0.013)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop
Rollout details
648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
First 2 moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Remaining moves: 2 ply, cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.010 (+0.823...+0.844)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.020 (+0.993...+1.033)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 90.1%
Duration: 1 minute 47 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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