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RO for money

Posted By: Dmitriy Obukhov
Date: Tuesday, 24 July 2012, at 5:35 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout: Volatility + Score = Double? (Timothy Chow)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 118
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 110
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aBBBCC--Aa------cbeb---aB:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 55.15% (G:27.84% B:1.38%) 55.46% (G:28.79% B:1.34%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 44.85% (G:11.22% B:0.43%) 44.54% (G:11.39% B:0.47%)
Cubeless Equities +0.279 +0.584
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.207 (-0.011)±0.011 (+0.196..+0.218)
Double/Take:+0.218±0.018 (+0.200..+0.236)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.782)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 36
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:84.5%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 4 minutes 38 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

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