As David Rennie said, the cube location is important here. With the cube in the center, swinging the anchor around for an efficient double is by far the best play. With the cube turned, and trailing 7a5a, blitzing is a viable option.
         
 
          
 | | White is eXtremeGammon
score: 2
pip: 161 | | 7 point match | pip: 143
score: 0
Blue is Timothy Chow |
|
| XGID=-aa---EBC---dC-a-cBcb-----:0:0:1:44:0:2:0:7:10 |
| Blue to play 44 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 18/10(2) | eq: +1.006 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 74.12% (G:11.86% B:0.27%)
25.88% (G:3.70% B:0.25%) | Conf: ± 0.008 (+0.998...+1.014)
Duration: 49 minutes 22 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 18/14(2) 6/2*(2) | eq: +0.919 (-0.087) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 70.85% (G:13.85% B:0.59%)
29.15% (G:4.74% B:0.22%) | Conf: ± 0.017 (+0.902...+0.936)
Duration: 4 hours 49 minutes |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 8/4(2) 6/2*(2) | eq: +0.899 (-0.107) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 67.18% (G:27.75% B:1.03%)
32.82% (G:7.10% B:0.37%) | Conf: ± 0.017 (+0.882...+0.916)
Duration: 1 hour 34 minutes |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
With the cube turned:
| | White is Player 2
score: 2
pip: 161 | | 7 point match | pip: 143
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-aa---EBC---dC-a-cBcb-----:1:-1:1:44:0:2:0:7:10 |
| Blue to play 44 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 18/10(2) | eq: +0.532 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 74.53% (G:11.53% B:0.33%)
25.47% (G:3.48% B:0.36%) | Conf: ± 0.010 (+0.522...+0.542)
Duration: 4 hours 29 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 8/4(2) 6/2*(2) | eq: +0.531 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 67.40% (G:28.68% B:1.04%)
32.60% (G:7.18% B:0.44%) | Conf: ± 0.012 (+0.519...+0.543)
Duration: 3 hours 39 minutes |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross