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52D-61P-43U-41

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Saturday, 28 July 2012, at 5:52 p.m.

In Response To: 52D-61P-43U-41 (storm)


2O ' ' ' '5X '4X ' '1X4O

 ' ' '1X1X5O2O2O ' ' '3X
52D-61P-43U-41
Position ID: 4PPIAQXg2+ABMA Match ID: cIkQAAAAIAAA

Hitting on the 5pt is mandatory. After that, Blue has three reasonable candidates for the 4:

  • X = Hit and split (24/20, 6/5*) — This play leaves 1, 3, 5 and 6 as hitting numbers. Creating a good 6 for White is probably wrong when he is on the bar.

  • H = Hit (13/9, 6/5*) — After this move, White will have 4 to make an advanced anchor, and 1 and 5 to hit. Thus, there are 12 ways to anchor, and an additional 22 ways to hit. The 5 is duplicated, but it is a weak duplication. Given the choice, White will certainly hit in Blue’s inner board.

  • K = Kill (8/4* 6/5*) — The double hit leaves 21 return shots, fewer than either alternative. When Blue misses, K is clearly superior to X and H. Even when Blue hits, his chance of simulateously anchoring is less than with the other plays.

Let the hitting begin.

Mike

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