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Four Rollout Results Posted

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Sunday, 29 July 2012, at 12:14 p.m.

In Response To: Cube Action After the Two Plays (Paul Weaver)





White is Player 1

score: 6
pip: 142
11 point match
pip: 123
score: 1

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-a--aCC-C---bE--b--bAcbb--:0:0:-1:00:6:1:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 58.06% (G:27.99% B:0.28%) 58.15% (G:29.05% B:0.28%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 41.94% (G:8.68% B:0.60%) 41.85% (G:8.98% B:0.56%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.346 +0.827
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.543 (-0.158)±0.012 (+0.531..+0.554)
Double/Take:+0.701±0.015 (+0.686..+0.716)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.299)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 12 minutes 08 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is Player 1

score: 6
pip: 142
11 point match
pip: 127
score: 1

Blue is Player 2
XGID=aa--ACC-B---bE--b--b-cbbA-:0:0:-1:00:6:1:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 55.63% (G:28.93% B:0.78%) 55.89% (G:29.14% B:0.72%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 44.37% (G:11.93% B:0.80%) 44.11% (G:12.09% B:0.97%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.279 +0.694
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.455 (-0.129)±0.013 (+0.442..+0.468)
Double/Take:+0.584±0.017 (+0.567..+0.601)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.416)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 14 minutes 46 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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