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BGonline.org Forums
Race or Prime?
Posted By: Daniel Murphy In Response To: Race or Prime? (bayblitz)
Date: Monday, 30 July 2012, at 4:29 a.m.
Try to count White's good and bad responses and weigh Blue's equity after each category. It might help. Roughly:
24/16 11 rolls -> Blue is a doubling favorite 2 rolls (6-5) -> Blue is a favorite 23 good rolls (the hits) -> even race; Blue is only a slight underdog 13/7 9/7 20 rolls -> Blue doubles most or all of these 3 rolls (makes the bar point) -> a close game 11 very good rolls (hits on the midpoint) -> Blue is a definite underdog with 2 checkers back although having the better prime. 2 excellent rolls (6-2) -> Blue is a serious underdog
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