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Race or Prime?

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Monday, 30 July 2012, at 4:29 a.m.

In Response To: Race or Prime? (bayblitz)

Try to count White's good and bad responses and weigh Blue's equity after each category. It might help. Roughly:

24/16
11 rolls-> Blue is a doubling favorite
2 rolls (6-5)-> Blue is a favorite
23 good rolls (the hits)-> even race; Blue is only a slight underdog
13/7 9/7
20 rolls-> Blue doubles most or all of these
3 rolls (makes the bar point)-> a close game
11 very good rolls (hits on the midpoint)-> Blue is a definite underdog with 2 checkers back although having the better prime.
2 excellent rolls (6-2)-> Blue is a serious underdog

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