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Stick vs Merriman: XG++ Data Makes No Sense

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Monday, 30 July 2012, at 8:57 a.m.

In Response To: Stick's Matches from Novi (Dmitriy Obukhov)

10/5* 5/2 wins more games (95.6% to 95.4%) and 10/5* 5/2 wins more gammons (91.6% to 91.0%) than 15/10 6/3. 10/5* 5/2 also loses fewer gammons. Blue's backgammons at this score are irrelevant.

I'm just a simple country boy from Alabama, but it surely appears to me that if 10/5* 5/2 wins more games, wins more gammons and also loses fewer gammons, it should be the better play.

¿Porque no? How come not?





White is merriman

score: 0
pip: 174
11 point match
pip: 72
score: 8

Blue is stick
XGID=cBBCBaD---A-c--A---db-b---:1:1:1:53:8:0:0:11:10
Blue to play 53

1.XG Roller++15/10 6/3eq: +1.193
Player:
Opponent:		95.38% (G:90.99% B:4.93%)
4.62% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller++10/5* 5/2eq: +1.175 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		95.58% (G:91.61% B:8.16%)
4.42% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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