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grid blitz #1: Truncated RO

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 30 July 2012, at 4:29 p.m.

In Response To: grid blitz #1 (Leonardo Jerkovic)

Easy take even ATS.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 148
3 point match
pip: 124
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BB-BaBbB--BcA---c-bacA--A:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:3:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 59.97% (G: 39.96% B: 0.65%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 40.03% (G: 11.56% B: 0.81%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 60.09% (G: 40.10% B: 0.61%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 39.91% (G: 11.44% B: 0.79%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.632
Double:+1.232
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.632 (-0.219)
Double/Take:+0.851
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.149)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
First 2 moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Remaining moves: 2 ply, cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.015 (+0.617...+0.647)
Confidence Double: ± 0.025 (+0.826...+0.876)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 4 minutes 16 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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