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Recube action ATS?

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 30 July 2012, at 4:54 p.m.

In Response To: Recube action ATS? (John O'Hagan)

Yellow fails to clean up the blot with 66 65 63 55 53 33, or 10 rolls, and Black will hit about 1/3 of those. Yellow also has some future blotting danger because of his awkward distribution, but by that time he'll have more checkers off.

No roll is so bad that Yellow has to drop the autorecube to 8, so this recube is for the match, and Black needs 11% GWC to take. Black hits immediately less than 10% of the time, and even after a hit the win isn't guaranteed. Black has a bit of racing vig and some future shot vig, but it's not clear to me if it's enough. I'd double and am not sure about the take; I'll guess D/P.

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