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DMP bear off vs ace-point anchor --- ROLLOUTS

Posted By: Petter Bengtsson
Date: Monday, 30 July 2012, at 10:24 p.m.

In Response To: DMP bear off vs ace-point anchor (Timothy Chow)

Rollouts of posted position and variant.

Why is 5/3 the best 2? Leaving three checkers on 6-point while stripping 5-point just looks wrong to me.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 124
1 point match
pip: 64
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=abBBDDC----------b-c-bb-c-:0:0:1:52:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 52

1.Rollout15/3 5/Offeq: +0,726
Player:
Opponent:
86,32% (G:53,73% B:17,40%)
13,68% (G:0,00% B:0,00%)
Conf.: ± 0,001 (+0,725...+0,728) - [100,0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 14 seconds
2.Rollout16/4 5/Offeq: +0,721 (-0,005)
Player:
Opponent:
86,05% (G:53,50% B:17,58%)
13,95% (G:0,00% B:0,00%)
Conf.: ± 0,001 (+0,720...+0,722) - [0,0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 26 seconds
3.Rollout15/Off 4/2eq: +0,708 (-0,018)
Player:
Opponent:
85,40% (G:55,21% B:18,43%)
14,60% (G:0,00% B:0,00%)
Conf.: ± 0,001 (+0,707...+0,709) - [0,0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 18 seconds
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 13579
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 138
1 point match
pip: 64
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=abBBDDC----------bacbbb---:0:0:1:52:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 52

1.Rollout15/3 5/Offeq: +0,540
Player:
Opponent:
77,01% (G:52,74% B:23,08%)
22,99% (G:0,00% B:0,00%)
Conf.: ± 0,001 (+0,539...+0,542) - [100,0%]
Duration: 18 minutes 37 seconds
2.Rollout16/4 5/Offeq: +0,535 (-0,005)
Player:
Opponent:
76,74% (G:52,76% B:23,37%)
23,26% (G:0,00% B:0,00%)
Conf.: ± 0,002 (+0,533...+0,536) - [0,0%]
Duration: 17 minutes 16 seconds
3.Rollout15/Off 4/2eq: +0,524 (-0,016)
Player:
Opponent:
76,20% (G:53,00% B:23,15%)
23,80% (G:0,00% B:0,00%)
Conf.: ± 0,001 (+0,523...+0,525) - [0,0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 59 seconds
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 13579
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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