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64P-51$-52S-54P-21@-44

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 31 July 2012, at 11:29 p.m.

In Response To: 64P-51$-52S-54P-21@-44 (Timothy Chow)

8/4(2) looks like the natural play to me here, making a home-board point and giving a pretty nice distribution. However, the bot votes for 13/9(2). I assume that blocking the 6-away point is valuable enough to override the other advantages of 8/4(2). This is shaping up to be a mutual holding game where players are generally going to be avoiding unnecessary shots (so home-board points are somewhat less valuable than usual) and will gain a great deal if they can jump ahead safely with a big roll (so blocking the 6-away point gains in value). Still a bit surprising to me though.

Sorry for the diagram below; somehow the board got swapped somewhere in the cut-and-paste chain.





White is eXtremeGammon

score: 4
pip: 152
7 point match
pip: 148
score: 4

Blue is Timothy Chow
XGID=-bB---D-C---dD---d-c--B-b-:0:0:-1:44:4:4:0:7:10
White to play 44

1.Rollout124/20(2) 13/9(2)eq: +0.366
Player:
Opponent:		 58.15% (G:11.67% B:0.62%)
41.85% (G:7.74% B:0.55%)		Conf: ± 0.019 (+0.347...+0.385)
Duration: 1 hour 35 minutes
2.Rollout124/20(2) 8/4(2)eq: +0.318 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:		 56.57% (G:12.33% B:0.64%)
43.43% (G:7.41% B:0.44%)		Conf: ± 0.018 (+0.300...+0.336)
Duration: 1 hour 32 minutes
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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