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Honestly, what is your OTB play?

Posted By: Casper van der Tak
Date: Thursday, 2 August 2012, at 8:35 a.m.

In Response To: Honestly, what is your OTB play? (Taper_Mike)

I don't know what I would play. I see various possibilities:

1. 15/14 15/13. This looks a bit inflexible. It is solid, but does little to improve on the advantage. It seems that we could do more now that White is exposed. I probably would not play this.

2. 14/11. This creates more numbers that make the 10 or 9, and keeps more pressure on the midpoint, which is also a good thing here. I could see me making this play.

3. 13/11 6/5. This creates even more numbers to extend the prime in either direction, and hits leave a lot of returns and don't start White moving from the 23 anchor. I could see me making this play. I think it is better than 2, despite the hittable blots.

4. 13/10. Slots directly the 10, and creates many 9-point making numbers. The checker on the 10 is also a builder for the 4. I think this is slightly better than 2 and 3. And I might make this play OTB.

5. 6/4 14/13. Tries to extend the prime by making the 4, but leaves a number of hit and covers that would possibly allow White to move the anchor up. Also, if missed, the blot on the 4 is not easy to cover without giving up a good point. I might play this OTB, but don't believe it is best.

I think 13/10 is best, and I believe this is the play I would make OTB if I would spend sufficient time on the decision. We want to extend the prime, and White's homeboard is a mess, so there are several 'something special may be needed' signals OTB. QF factor is therefore not very high for me here.

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