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Rollout Results Posted

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Saturday, 4 August 2012, at 11:36 a.m.

In Response To: Cube Action Duo: Defender Has No Anchor (Paul Weaver)

On the left, Blue leads by 9 pips and White should pass. On the right, Blue leads by 18 pips and White should take.

In both positions, White has racing chances plus shot vig. White's ability to contain a hit checker in the right position more than compensates her for the decreased racing equity.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 124
5 point match
pip: 115
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--BaEBC---bC-a-b-b-bb-b-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:5:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 74.09% (G:13.30% B:0.32%) 74.06% (G:15.21% B:0.37%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.91% (G:3.19% B:0.06%) 25.94% (G:4.06% B:0.08%)
Cubeless Equities +0.577 +1.207
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.828 (-0.172)±0.007 (+0.821..+0.835)
Double/Take:+1.034 (+0.034)±0.016 (+1.018..+1.050)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 15 minutes 41 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 133
5 point match
pip: 115
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--BaEBC---cC----bbbbb---:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:5:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 73.98% (G:12.20% B:0.16%) 74.34% (G:12.33% B:0.16%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 26.02% (G:3.41% B:0.09%) 25.66% (G:3.39% B:0.10%)
Cubeless Equities +0.561 +1.157
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.867 (-0.122)±0.009 (+0.858..+0.876)
Double/Take:+0.989±0.011 (+0.978..+1.000)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.011)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:97.3%
Duration: 9 minutes 22 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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