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20120808 Match Bearoff Cube Big Lead-ROLLOUT

Posted By: Leonardo Jerkovic
Date: Thursday, 9 August 2012, at 2:16 p.m.

In Response To: 20120808 Match Bearoff Cube Big Lead (Daniel Murphy)





White is Player 1

score: 3
pip: 60
17 point match
pip: 42
score: 14

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-BBBBBB------------cdcbb--:1:1:1:00:14:3:0:17:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
  Player Winning Chances: 94,85% (G: 0,00% B: 0,00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 5,15% (G: 0,00% B: 0,00%)
Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 94,82% (G: 0,00% B: 0,00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 5,18% (G: 0,00% B: 0,00%)
 
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0,897
Redouble:+1,093
 
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0,934
Redouble/Take:+0,857 (-0,078)
Redouble/Drop:+1,000 (+0,066)
 
Best Cube action: No Redouble / Take
 
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
 
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0,001 (+0,934...+0,935)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0,000 (+0,856...+0,857)
 
Double Decision confidence: 100,0%
Take Decision confidence: 100,0%
 
Duration: 1 minute 53 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Woosley

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