What did you learn from the Pay Now or Later lecture?

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What did you learn from the Pay Now or Later lecture?

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Friday, 10 August 2012, at 8:11 p.m.

In Response To: What did you learn from the Pay Now or Later lecture? (Klaus Evers)

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White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 110

7 point match

pip: 80
score: 4

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-BABCbCB----bB-----bbcbb--:1:1:1:64:4:2:0:7:10
Blue to play 64

If you decide to pay now in the position above, 64 is a nice roll with which to do it. You leave only 1 blot and 13 shots, plus you figure to cash if missed.
But look how brittle White’s position is. Unless he rolls 21, he will probably have to break his midpoint. Then, if you can avoid rolling a 6, you can perhaps stall for another turn. In case you do roll a 6, however, you can likely bring one checker safely home, and leave only an indirect shot. (62 would be ugly.) Once again, if you are missed, you have a strong cube.
–

White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 119

7 point match

pip: 80
score: 4

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-BABCbCB----cB-----bbbbb--:1:1:1:64:4:2:0:7:10
Blue to play 64

In this variant, White has an extra builder on his midpoint. Now, he is not so brittle. With few chances that White will break the midpoint, I would pay now.
Mike