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                        | |||
| Bot | Seed | Equity | Nacbracs | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XG 2.xx 4-ply | 1 | –158.8 | [Z S2] "^247 | Ken Bame |
| XG 2.xx 4-ply | 37808781 | –160.4 | [S=Z D22] "^72 | David Rockwell |
| XG 2.xx 4-ply | 72588828 | –157.8 | [Z S5] "^21 | Stick |
| Rollout | Z = 24/22 13/10 | S = 24/21 13/11 | S Trails Z By | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XG 4-ply (21k, Stick) | -0.1578 ±0.0031 | -0.1632 ±0.0031 | (-0.0054) | ||
| Difference (Stick – Ken) | 0.0010 | 0.0027 | |||
| XG 4-ply (247k, Ken) | -0.1588 ±0.0009 | -0.1605 ±0.0009 | (-0.0017) | ||
| Difference (Ken – David) | 0.0021 | 0.0001 | |||
| XG 4-ply (73k, David) | -0.1609 ±0.0017 | -0.1604 ±0.0017 | (+0.0005) | ||
| Difference (Stick – David) | 0.0031 | 0.0028 | |||
| The table above is a copy of the one created by Daniel.
Daniel is much better at the numbers than I am, but the jist of this seems to be that the rollouts by David and Stick both fall outside the 95% confidence interval of ±0.0009 established in Ken’s rollout. In the case of David’s rollout, only the result for Z falls outside the range. In addition, while Stick’s rollout has a confidence interval that is large enough to encompass both of the other two rollouts, David’s does not. The confidence interval set in David’s rollout, ±0.0017, excludes both of Stick’s results and Ken’s result for Z. Xavier discusses XG’s confidence interval in BGO Msg. No. 58176. Mike |