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BGonline.org Forums
Critcal Cube Action in Masters Final from WI
Posted By: Casper van der Tak In Response To: Critcal Cube Action in Masters Final from WI (neilkaz)
Date: Tuesday, 14 August 2012, at 7:23 a.m.
I would double this as Blue, for several reasons. I'll base myself on John O's analysis (never wrong to start with that), and just add some additional considerations:
- In terms of number of good vs bad sequences, we have have hit followed by a dance (and some entering numbers) and doubles; as bad sequences we have 8 6s followed by a hit. Good sequences outnumber bad sequences by quite a bit, and note that in the sequences where we leave a shot and get hit, we often can hit back from the bar and have good gammon chances again.
- The market loss on our hit seems steep. On our hits, our gammon fraction is maybe 55%-60% gammons, so having cubed these is huge.
- Like Bob also mentioned, to a certain degree cubing takes the cube away from the opponent.
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