[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

OTB and RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 15 August 2012, at 1:49 a.m.

In Response To: Critcal Cube Action in Masters Final from WI (neilkaz)

OTB I was quite sure that this was a proper cube but of course gave the matter some thought and analysis, having had a very similar position earlier this year and noting that it often won't be correct for Bill to hit me without covering his 2 pt.

I cubed, he took of course and I rolled 62 and played 13/5 afterwhich he properly didn't hit with his 62. I then rolled 53 and properly played 13/5 hoping for a bad roll from him, but his 51 was a good roll and I rolled a bad 6 and got both checkers picked up to lose the match with a G.





White is Player 2

score: 8
pip: 114
11 point match
pip: 106
score: 7

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BBCBBb----bB---aBcbbba--:0:0:1:00:7:8:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 56.475% (G:18.663% B:0.488%) 56.486% (G:18.364% B:0.631%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 43.525% (G:9.678% B:0.325%) 43.514% (G:9.220% B:0.469%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.1841 +0.7135
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.3267 (-0.1654)±0.0056 (+0.3210..+0.3323)
Double/Take:+0.4921±0.0084 (+0.4837..+0.5005)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.5079)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 78623594
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 17 minutes 37 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.