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Daily Quiz 5/26

Posted By: Pilgrim
Date: Friday, 17 August 2012, at 8:02 a.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 5/26 (Daily Quiz)

Hello,

Great problem.

Answer:

Double/Drop at 5a5a

Double/take for money

There is no doubt about the double - the only question is the take.

Holding games are usually in the 70-75%. I would guess this is at the very high end of this range.

Raw take point at 5a5a is about 23% (see Stick article on Gammonvillage) and I guess gammons favour blue. I guess the gammon rate for blue is around 4% and for white maybe 1%. Gammon value for a 2 cube is 0.65 (thanks again Stick).

So if we say 75% victories and 3% gammon difference at 0.65 that takes us pretty much to 77%. I would therefore drop. Interestingly, I suspect this is a money take.

Pilgrim

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