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OLM Mo 08/13/12 ROLLOUT

Posted By: Jason Lee
Date: Sunday, 19 August 2012, at 8:01 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Mo 08/13/12 (Jason Lee)





White is XG Roller++

score: 1
pip: 158
15 point match
pip: 147
score: 6

Blue is BGO Readers
XGID=--aaB-CBBB-AdAa--c-d---aAA:0:0:1:00:6:1:0:15:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 68.09% (G:29.85% B:2.56%) 67.92% (G:30.69% B:2.90%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 31.91% (G:7.01% B:0.33%) 32.08% (G:7.27% B:0.35%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.619 +1.189
Cubeful Equities
     No double:+0.756±0.006 (+0.750..+0.762)
played Double/Take:+0.754 (-0.002)±0.008 (+0.746..+0.762)
     Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.244)
Â
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 0.7%
Rollout details
7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 11907351
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Â
Double Decision confidence:63.7%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 9 hours 46 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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